burglary -> alarm earthquake -> alarm alarm -> john-calls alarm -> mary-calls CPT for burglary: true false 0.001 0.999 CPT for earthquake: true false 0.002 0.998 CPT for alarm: burglary earthquake true false false false 0.001 0.999 false true 0.29 0.71 true false 0.94 0.06 true true 0.95 0.05 CPT for john-calls: alarm true false true 0.90 0.10 false 0.05 0.95 CPT for mary-calls: alarm true false true 0.70 0.30 false 0.01 0.99 # observe john-calls is true # observe mary-calls is true # predict
Draw